Patterson, Johnstone, Kristensen, Ratiu, Millot THBN Probability Scores

Tottenham's January Transfer Targets and Strategies

Here's a breakdown of the latest transfer targets and we will start with the guy I asked if we were considering, Anthony Patterson of Sunderland.

If you missed it, here is yesterday's Tottenham Hotspur transfer news and before that more Tottenham transfer talk.

Factors to consider, a second choice goalkeeper sits on a bench so preferably he needs to be homegrown and association trained for European quotas and the Premier League quota.

Arsenal showed rotating keepers doesn't work and the one who considers himself a number one will not stay if he is not playing regularly.

Therefore he has to be young or experienced.

Atchie Gray might be moved to left-pback if we can sign a left-sided centre-back from those who might be available. 

This notion from fans that everyone is available is plain stupid, no club wants to shoot itself in the foot mid-season just to help a club who wants to buy.

Goalkeeper Options

Anthony Patterson interest
Spurs are interested in Anthony Patterson

  • Anthony Patterson (Sunderland): The 24-year-old has been Sunderland's first-choice goalkeeper since the 2021-2022 season, making 137 appearances. His impressive performances have attracted interest from Spurs, who are considering him as a backup to Guglielmo Vicario. However, Sunderland may be reluctant to part with Patterson amid their promotion push, though a deal could be negotiated at the right price.

    Sam Johnstone
    Spurs interested in Sam Johnstone

  • Sam Johnstone (Wolverhampton Wanderers): The 31-year-old England international is reportedly a strong candidate for Spurs as they search for a goalkeeper. Johnstone's Premier League experience makes him a viable option to meet the homegrown quota.

Defensive Reinforcements

Thomas Kristensen
Spurs are interested in Thomas Kristensen

  • Thomas Kristensen (Udinese Centre-Back):

    • Italy: Italian sports media have reported on Tottenham's interest in Kristensen, noting his impressive performances in Serie A with Udinese. They discuss the potential challenges Spurs might face in securing his transfer, given Udinese's reluctance to part with a key defender mid-season.

    • Denmark: Danish outlets are proud of Kristensen's development and the attention he's receiving from top European clubs like Tottenham. They view this interest as a testament to Denmark's ability to produce high-calibre defensive talents capable of competing in elite leagues.

    Andrei Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano Right-Back):

    Andrei Ratiu
    Spurs are interested in Andrea Ratiu

    • Spain: Spanish media have extensively covered Ratiu's potential move, with reports linking him to both Tottenham and Barcelona. They highlight his consistent performances in La Liga and discuss how his €25 million release clause makes him an attractive option for top clubs seeking to bolster their right-back positions.

    • Romania: Romanian sports news outlets are enthusiastic about Ratiu's prospects, viewing a potential transfer to a club like Tottenham as a significant achievement for Romanian football. 

    Midfield Target

  • Enzo Millot
    Spurs interested in Enzo Millot

  • Enzo Millot (VfB Stuttgart Midfielder):

    • Enzo Millot, the 22-year-old French midfielder currently playing for VfB Stuttgart, has been attracting significant attention from Borussia Dortmund amongst others, due to his impressive performances in the Bundesliga. 

      Reports indicate that Millot has a release clause valued between €18 million and €20 million, which becomes active in the upcoming summer transfer window. This relatively modest fee, considering his market value is estimated at €42 million, has piqued the interest of several clubs.
In summary, the international perspectives on Tottenham's transfer targets reflect a blend of national pride and analytical insight. 

Each country's media offers unique viewpoints on how these potential moves could influence the players' careers and the broader football landscape, but we don't want to know that, we want to know if they are signing.

Probability Percentage

A probability percentage for each player potentially signing for Tottenham in the January transfer window.

1. Anthony Patterson (Sunderland Goalkeeper): 45%

  • Factors Supporting the Move:
    • Spurs need an English backup goalkeeper to meet the future homegrown quota.
    • Sunderland might entertain offers if the price is right, though they are pursuing promotion.
  • Factors Against the Move:
    • Patterson is crucial for Sunderland, and mid-season departures are challenging.

2. Sam Johnstone (Crystal Palace Goalkeeper): 50%

  • Factors Supporting the Move:
    • An experienced Premier League goalkeeper with homegrown status.
    • Wolves may be open to a transfer if the price is acceptable and they secure a replacement.
  • Factors Against the Move:
    • Spurs would need to outbid competitors and meet Johnstone's wage demands.

3. Thomas Kristensen (Udinese Centre-Back): 25%

  • Factors Supporting the Move:
    • Spurs are looking to strengthen their defence, and Kristensen is young with potential.
    • Udinese's Serie A struggles may make selling players a financial consideration.
  • Factors Against the Move:
    • Udinese are reportedly reluctant to sell him mid-season, viewing him as integral to their plans.

4. Andrei Ratiu (Rayo Vallecano Right-Back): 35%

  • Factors Supporting the Move:
    • Ratiu's versatility fits Tottenham's tactical needs.
    • His €25 million release clause makes the deal feasible financially.
  • Factors Against the Move:
    • Strong competition from Barcelona and Napoli, who can offer Champions League football.
    • Rayo Vallecano may resist selling during a competitive La Liga campaign.

5. Enzo Millot (VfB Stuttgart Midfielder): 20%

  • Factors Supporting the Move:
    • Millot's release clause (active in the summer) could prompt Spurs to negotiate early.
    • Spurs need creative depth in midfield, and Millot fits their profile of young, developing talent.
  • Factors Against the Move:
    • VfB Stuttgart are unlikely to sell mid-season due to their strong Bundesliga campaign.
    • Dortmund’s interest and Millot's preference for Bundesliga progression could hinder Spurs' chances.

Conclusion

  • Most Likely: Sam Johnstone, as he ticks the homegrown box and provides experience.
  • Least Likely: Enzo Millot, due to Stuttgart's reluctance to sell mid-season and the competition from Dortmund.

Spurs’ January activity will heavily depend on the urgency of our squad needs, available funds, and how other clubs react to potential bids.

COYS