Arsenal vs Spurs - statistics suggests Spurs may score first

Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur

Saturday 27 Sept 2014
Kick-off: 17:30 GMT

The English Premier League (EPL) table isn't as good as it should be from a Tottenham fans point of view after a woeful performance last week saw 3 points thrown away from a corner that we should never have given away in the first place. Thanks to someone trying to be too clever we paid the ultimate price against the team who were bottom of the league at the time.

The form table is obviously the same, the season only being 5 games old.

Premier League Table 

PPts
1Chelsea513
2Southampton510
3Aston Villa510
4Arsenal59
5Swansea City59
6Manchester C58
7Leicester City58
8West Ham Utd57
9Tottenham57
10Hull City56
11Liverpool56
12Manchester U55
13Stoke City55
14Everton55
15Crystal Palace55
16West Bromwich55
17Sunderland54
18QPR54
19Burnley53
20Newcastle Utd53

Home form verses away form is always an important factor when trying to assess a result and neither side in in what you'd call great form, even though Arsenal are unbeaten.

Arsenal

(4th)
Sat. 27 Sep 2014
Kick-off: 17:30 GMT

Tottenham

(9th)
Last 5 matches
20 SepAston Villa - ARS0-30-1SPURS - West Bromwich21 Sep
13 SepARS - Manchester City2-22-2Sunderland - SPURS13 Sep
31 AugLeicester City - ARS1-10-3SPURS - Liverpool31 Aug
23 AugEverton - ARS2-24-0SPURS- QPR24 Aug
16 AugARS - Crystal Palace2-10-1West Ham Utd - SPURS16 Aug

(Green = Win, Yellow = Draw, Pink = Loss)

Home Table Away Table

With so few games there is not a lot to go on in those table as yet so how have we fared since 2002?

Arsenal wins12
Draws8
Tottenham wins4

Arsenal goals53
Tottenham goals34

PREVIOUS ENCOUNTERS IN THIS LEAGUE

16 Mar 14Tottenham - Arsenal0-1
1 Sep 13Arsenal - Tottenham1-0
3 Mar 13Tottenham - Arsenal2-1
17 Nov 12Arsenal - Tottenham5-2
26 Feb 12Arsenal - Tottenham5-2
2 Oct 11Tottenham - Arsenal2-1
20 Apr 11Tottenham - Arsenal3-3
20 Nov 10Arsenal - Tottenham2-3
14 Apr 10Tottenham - Arsenal2-1
31 Oct 09Arsenal - Tottenham3-0
8 Feb 09Tottenham - Arsenal0-0
29 Oct 08Arsenal - Tottenham4-4
22 Dec 07Arsenal - Tottenham2-1
15 Sep 07Tottenham - Arsenal1-3
21 Apr 07Tottenham - Arsenal2-2
2 Dec 06Arsenal - Tottenham3-0
22 Apr 06Arsenal - Tottenham1-1
29 Oct 05Tottenham - Arsenal1-1
25 Apr 05Arsenal - Tottenham1-0
13 Nov 04Tottenham - Arsenal4-5
25 Apr 04Tottenham - Arsenal2-2
8 Nov 03Arsenal - Tottenham2-1
15 Dec 02Tottenham - Arsenal1-1
16 Nov 02Arsenal - Tottenham3-0

The overall record is not great, just looking at this corresponding fixture Arsenal have won 9, we have drawn 2 and only won 1, a 2-3 victory in November 2010. We have scored 15 goals in 12 games since 2002 and conceded 32. In 5 of those games we have failed to score, however there are often plenty of goals in the tie.

There had been 125 goals scored in Premier League meetings between Tottenham and Arsenal, more than any other fixture before we played them last year so that tally can now be added to by a further 2.

This season Arsenal have scored 75% of their home goals in the second half and we have scored 67% of our away goal in the second half so that would point to the second half containing more goals than the first.

However Arsenal have conceded 67% of the goals at home in the first half and 83% in all games compared to Spurs 50% away from home and 33% conceded in the first half in all games.

Arsenal have yet to score the first goal at home this season whereas Tottenham have scored first in both their away games. To negate that neither Arsenal have not been in front at half-time in any home games and Tottenham haven't been in front at half-time in any away games this season.

At home Arsenal have been in font for an average of just 4.5 minutes per game while Tottenham have been in front for an average 18 minutes per game away from home.

Attacking Table

PG
1Chelsea516
2Everton511
3Arsenal510
4Leicester City59
5Manchester U59
6Southampton59
7West Ham Utd59
8Crystal Palace58
9Manchester C58
10Swansea City58
11Hull City57
12Liverpool57
13Tottenham57

Defending Table

PG
1Southampton53
2Burnley54
3Aston Villa54
4Stoke City55
5Manchester C55
6Tottenham56
7Swansea City56
8Sunderland56
9Arsenal56

Weighing up what the statistics say perhaps suggests 0-0 at half-time with goals in the second half but this fixture regularly seems to see early goals. It's tough to call we ourselves off form and Arsenal missing defenders but I doubt it will be a simple 1-0 this season.