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Brennan Johnson vs. Timo Werner: Tottenham's Forward Comparison

Brennan Johnson vs. Timo Werner: Statistically compare the two Maligned Forwards

Johnson v Werner


In the 2023-2024 season, Tottenham Hotspur's attacking options were bolstered by the presence of Brennan Johnson and Timo Werner so today we'll compare our two most maligned forwards. 

THBN will take a delve into their performances and compare their contributions to the team per 90 minutes played.

Playing Time and Overall Impact

Brennan Johnson was more involved in Tottenham's Premier League campaign, featuring in 35 matches (2,322 mins) compared to Timo Werner's 13 appearances (809 mins). 

Minutes played equates to 25.8 full games for Johnson and 9 games for Timo Werner, who of course had an injury that curtailed his season.

This significant difference in playing time provides Johnson with a larger sample size to showcase his abilities.

Goals and Assists

  • Brennan Johnson: 0.52 goals per 90 minutes
  • Timo Werner: 0.25 goals per 90 minutes
Johnson is scoring 108% more goals per 90 minutes than Werner.

Johnson v Werner Goals and Assists

Johnson v Werner Assists:

  • Johnson: 0,33 assists per 90 minutes
  • Werner: 0.39 assists per 90 minutes

Johnson v Werner Assists

Goals and Assists

  • Johnson: 0,56 assists per 90 minutes
  • Werner: 0.58 assists per 90 minutes

Johnson v Werner Goals and Assists

Shot Creation and Accuracy

  • Johnson: 2.79 shots per 90 minutes, with 1.22 on target (43.75% accuracy)
  • Werner: 3.21 shots per 90 minutes, with 0.77 on target (24.1% accuracy)
Werner takes 15.1% more shots per 90 minutes, but Johnson's shot accuracy is 81.5% higher.

Johnson v Werner Shot Creation and Accuracy

Expected Goals (xG) and Expected Assists (xA)

  • Johnson: 0.54 non-penalty xG per 90 minutes
  • Werner: 0.46 non-penalty xG per 90 minutes
Johnson's xG is 17.4% higher than Werner's.

Expected Goals (xG) and Expected Assists (xA)

Expected Assists

  • Johnson: 0.07 xA per 90 minutes
  • Werner: 0.24 xA per 90 minutes
Werner's xA is 242.9% higher than Johnson's.

Johnson v Werner Expected Assists

Passing and Progression

  • Johnson: 25.64 passes per 90 minutes, 78.91% completion rate
  • Werner: 40.27 passes per 90 minutes, 74.6% completion rate
Werner attempts 57% more passes per 90 minutes than Johnson, with a 5.5% lower completion rate.

Johnson v Werner Passing and Progression

Johnson vs Werner Take-ons

While specific data for Johnson's take-ons isn't available, Werner averages:
  • Werner 3.33 attempted take-ons per 90mins with 40% success rate
  • Johnson 3.02 attempted take-ons per 90 mins with 34.6% success rate

Johnson v Werner Take-ons

Progressive Carries

  • Werner 8.78 progressive carries for 172.1 yards per 90 minutes
  • Johnson 4.07 progressive carries for 87.8 yards per 90 minutes
Werner is in the 99th percentile for progressive carries among forwards.

Johnson v Werner Progressive Carries

The THBN Wrap-Up

At some stage I'll probably do a comparison of this season but both have been much maligned by our fanbase, yet confidence is the key to both of them.

Fans on social media negatively affected the performance of Brennan Johnson and it was only when he cut these negative people out of his life, did he find confidence on goal, going on a streak of 6 goals in 6 games.

Timo Werner we knew was low on confidence in front of goal but has always been an attacking danger with his ability to beat his man on the outside,

His goal against Manchester City could be a turning point because although his following effort was weak, he actively took the responsibility on. In the second half his too efforts were with far greater confidence, trying a difficult finish into the top corner that missed by just a foot.

This has been a useful exercise because there is a player inside Timo Werner and he is a World Cup winner so unlocking his goalscoring potential, as has happened with Johnson,  would make us a more dangerous squad.

  • Brennan Johnson shows a significant improvement in goal-scoring efficiency in the early stages of the 2024/25 season, more than doubling his goals per game ratio. However, his assist rate has dropped considerably.
  • Timo Werner demonstrates modest improvements in both goal-scoring and assist rates, with a more notable increase in his ability to set up goals for teammates.
Johnson appears to be the more clinical finisher at the moment, while Werner contributes more to overall attacking play and chance creation. 

COYS

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