COVID-19 and football clash

COVID-19 and football clash



Wake up people.

Welcome to the ramblings of The Sensible One.

Few of you have appreciated the gravity of the situation we and football faces. Daniel Levy has and acted upon it. Time will show he has made the right decision in the best interests of Tottenham Hotspur Football Club.

In the Premier League, roughly 60% of a club's income comes from TV money, for some clubs, it is 88%.

The Premier League have reportedly been told they will lose £750m for breach of contract if they don't complete the season.

Of course, if they cancel next season that would also be a breach of contract but you can not expect to cram this season and next season into one.

This explains the crazy stance of reluctantly putting the season back bit by bit, even though it isn't going to be played before September and probably not by then either.

Players are going to need a pre-season to get fit, so 2 months from the resumption before they are at match fitness, or are you going to ask players to risk injury by playing when they are not fit and running the risk of being sued.

A few points.

How would football be scheduled for TV? (this season in next season)
Would it be TV overkill? (cramming this season into next season)
Who is going to be able to afford the subscription fees to watch Sky Sports, Virgin or BT?
TV companies' revenue will be down, they will be looking to save money.
Will clubs give season ticket holders a rebate?
Will fans be able to afford season tickets?
Merchandising will be down when this is over.
People will spend less and match day income will be down.
There will be no money generating pre-season tours.
Income from player transfers will be massively down (when transfers happen again). Nobody is going to be paying £85 million for a player, Kane's price will have plummeted, his wage demands will be down.

Then, of course, there is overseas TV revenue and commercial income. You can't expect to receive sponsorship when you are not providing your product.

How much will it cost in commercial income and future commercial income with sponsors having less money and tightening their belts?

Puts a naming rights deal in jeopardy, certainly at the figures previously being talked about.

Will parents be able to afford Nike kits or Nike leisurewear after this? Anyone wanting a shirt deal now might find worse terms on offer.

If we calculate the TV payment as £750m divided by 20 clubs, that's £37.5m each lost

Spurs are down £29m of Champions League revenue and the superb Swiss Ramble blog calculates that we will lose £15.1m in match day income. Only Manchester United will lose more matchday income.

£37.5m - under new TV deal, domestic and overseas TV income down £46m
£29m
£15.1m
£81.6m (£90.1m) - do you start to see how the reduced revenue is piling up with a £1 billion stadium to pay for.

Daniel Levy: "When I read/hear stories about transfers this summer like nothing has happened, people need to wake up to the enormity of what is happening.

"Over 786,000 infected (now over 1.03m 2nd April), nearly 38,000 deaths (now 54,138)+ large segments of the world in lockdown...football can't operate in a bubble."

Residents in Wuhan, China, where this all started in December last year, are being told to stay indoors, that's nearly 4 months after it started!

Do you seriously think this is going away in a couple of weeks or a month? Not an earthly, far too many still going out when it isn't essential.

Take a look at these figures from Google tracking for Kent, UK tweeted by my local MP.



All clubs are going to revenue hit hard and that means transfer fees will have to come down as will wages until the world comes out of recession and clubs gain greater stability.

And remember, the club can't just have a handout from Joe Lewis as that is against Financial Fair Play rules now, the rules put in place to stop sugar daddy owners.

Money put in has to be paid back and he can't pay wages, he can only help with infrastructure, which is already in place.

The club can't simply cut players' wages as that has to be agreed with the players union (PFA) before any deal can be reached and they have advised players not to accept a pay cut. They can do it voluntarily of course but players salaries are not like the salary you get.

Spurs will save on wages by not having to pay match day bonuses, win, goal bonuses, appearance bonuses etc and a reduction in the image rights bill. Spurs are set up to give a lower basic and higher bonus payments which will certainly help the club at this difficult time.

Now let me give some of you a reality check.

Football will not be happening at all this summer. 

Watch this video in its entirety to understand the COVID-19 situation and how serious this pandemic actually is:


Until people start to take this seriously it isn't going to go away and great swathes of people are not, both my neighbours are still going to work in non-essential occupations, Argos still have 300 stores open for instance, they aren't essential.

In South Korea when they send someone home who has recovered they give them a device where they have to record their symptoms twice a day and if they don't they get a call asking them to do so.

This data has shown that some people infected and cured are showing the symptoms again.

That means our idea of dishing out a certificate and sending people back to work is plain stupid. We don't have the level of data responsible countries like South Korea have so we should be heading their advice.

20% of people tested positive have no symptoms.

Just allow that to sink in.

20% are carriers of this killer spreading it without knowing it. Any of those going to work or flaunting the stay at home isolation is simply extending the period we stay in lockdown, except we are not.

100,000 a day are coming into Heathrow, coughing away if you watched the same video I did.

Where is the most infected area in South Korea?

The airport where people are entering the country with the disease!

I'm sorry but this is a hell of a lot more serious than people seem to think it is, we are taking it too lightly. As for anyone signing a petition complaining about their civil liberties, well life itself is more important.

Why does the bill give powers for 2 years? Because this is lightly to last for 12/18 months, because it could resurface in the winter again and because people are not obeying isolation and staying at home.

Right back to football.

There will be no summer transfer window as no player is going to be able to undertake a medical with self-isolation going on.

Why should footballers get special treatment just so you can watch a game on the telly? Answer they shouldn't.

The PFA have shown their colours by saying players should not accept a reduction in salary and refusing to reach a deal with the Premier League. A club CAN NOT simply impose a deal on players. That is against employment law.

Transfer fees will be down and the terms offered will be down. Who knows what clubs will be able to afford what after this.

Those who rely too heavily on TV revenue may well be in serious trouble. We are bound to see some clubs go to the wall in the lower leagues.

What condition will Spurs be in at the end of this?

Daniel Levy has taken the right steps in protecting people's jobs in the long term by using the Government's furlough scheme, that's what it is there for.

The PFA has not agreed a deal so there was no point waiting to see if they would. Those criticising clearly haven't fully appreciated the extent of the emergency we are in and the consequences of it.

The Premier League still seem to think football is going to take place, it isn't.

Wimbledon in July is being cancelled, the Euros are moved to next year but the Premier League says we will delay games from the beginning of April until the end of April. They are dreaming and their attitude shows why this disease isn't going to go away any time soon.

They are putting money over lives.

Life comes before money or liberty.

COYS
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