Opportunity awaits

SWANS v SPURS

Today we could pull 6 points clear of Liverpool and if Manchester City win, remain 5 points clear of them.

It doesn't make a great deal of difference to the gap between ourselves and Chelsea whether Manchester City win or draw. The only difference it really make is goal difference, all assuming we win of course.

A Man City win would then leave us 4 points behind Chelsea which would mean they would have to lose a game and draw a game if we won all of our remaining fixtures.

If Man City draw then we are 5 points behind Chelsea and they would need to lose and draw for us to catch them and the title be decided on goal difference.

It is a big ask for us to win all our remaining games but even a Man City draw isn't a bad result for us. First off, we have to beat Swansea City tonight on their patch.

Their last three games have seen a 0-0 draw with Middlesbrough, a 2-0 defeat to Bournemouth and a 2-1 defeat to Hull City.

Last 4 at home	Last 4 away
(in the league, most recent first)

	SWANSEA - Middlesbrough	0-0		0-2	Burnley - SPURS
	SWANSEA - Burnley	3-2		2-0	Liverpool - SPURS
	SWANSEA - Leicester City	2-0		0-0	Sunderland - SPURS
	SWANSEA - Southampton	2-1		2-2	Manchester City - SPURS

At home they gain an average of 1.2 points per game while we average 1.5 points away from home. They have won 33% of their games we have won 35% of ours, they have drawn 20%, we have drawn 43%, they have lost 47%, we have lost 21%.

On home form Swansea sit 16th with 18 points from 15 games and away from home we sit 6th with 21 points from 14 games. They have scored 21 goals and conceded 30 while we have scored 22 goals and conceded 13 on our travels.

Their home games have seen two or more goals 87% of the time, while our travels have seen two or more goals in 79% of the games.

For those of you looking for a half-time angle, a draw, particularly 0-0 is a popular score. Swansea have been drawing 7 out of 15, we have been drawing 7 out of 14. The odds are 2.3 at the moment.

Halftime scores at home 0 - 0 4 26.7% 1 - 1 3 20.0% 0 - 1 3 20.0% 1 - 0 2 13.3% 0 - 3 1 6.7% 0 - 2 1 6.7% 2 - 0 1 6.7%

Halftime scores away 0 - 0 5 35.7% 1 - 0 3 21.4% 1 - 1 2 14.3% 0 - 3 1 7.1% 0 - 2 1 7.1% 0 - 1 1 7.1% 2 - 0 1 7.1%

Home	Total	HALFTIME LEAD	Total	Away
3 / 15	5 / 30	Leading at halftime	12 / 29	3 / 14
5 / 15	11 / 30	Losing at halftime	6 / 29	4 / 14
20%	17%	Leading at halftime (%)	41%	21%
33%	37%	Losing at halftime (%)	21%	29%

Both teams score in 53% of their home game and 57% of our away games. They keep 27% of clean sheets, we keep 29%. They fail to score in 33% and we in 29%. They score in both halves 20% of the time and we 21% of the time, while they concede at home 47% of the time in both halves, while we only concede 7% of the time in both halves away from home.

Home	Total	OPENING GOALS	Total	Away
5 / 15	9 / 30	Team scores first	17 / 29	5 / 14
8 / 15	19 / 30	Opponent scores first	10 / 29	7 / 14
33%	30%	Team scores first (%)	59%	36%
53%	63%	Opponent scores first (%)	34%	50%

Home

Away

HOME / AWAY ADVANTAGE

Home

Away

64%	36%	% Points	66%	34%
58%	42%	% Goals scored	61%	39%
48%	52%	% Goals conceded	38%	62%

We have won 9, drawn 2 and lost none of our last 9 encounters with Swansea home and away going back to 2011.

A look at the attack and defence tables show we have a real chance of gaining another three points with Swansea City having the worst defence in the Premier League, having conceded three times the number of goals we have.

Offense
		P	GF
	Liverpool	30	64
	Chelsea	29	60
	Arsenal	28	58
	Tottenham Hotspur	29	57
	Manchester City	29	56
	Everton	31	53
	Manchester United	29	43
	Bournemouth	30	42
	West Ham United	30	41
	WBA	31	39
	Crystal Palace	29	38
	Leicester City	30	37
	Swansea City	30	36
	Watford	30	36
	Southampton	28	33
	Stoke City	31	33
	Burnley	31	32
	Hull City	30	28
	Sunderland	30	24
	Middlesbrough	29	20

Defense
		P	GA
	Tottenham Hotspur	29	21
	Chelsea	29	23
	Manchester United	29	24
	Manchester City	29	32
	Middlesbrough	29	33
	Everton	31	34
	Southampton	28	36
	Arsenal	28	36
	Liverpool	30	37
	WBA	31	40
	Burnley	31	44
	Stoke City	31	45
	Leicester City	30	47
	Crystal Palace	29	47
	Watford	30	48
	Sunderland	30	53
	West Ham United	30	54
	Bournemouth	30	54
	Hull City	30	59
	Swansea City	30	63

Opportunity awaits. COYS

Further Stories from THBN
Swansea City the next step
Onomah and N'Koudou should learn from Winks
Pocettino cites belief as the most important aspect of football
Will Ben Davies be moved to accommodate Luke Shaw
Apply these four elements to each player
It takes hard work to become a Pochettino genius
The Title Race is no over yet

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