30% chance of winning today COYS

Statistics tell us we have a 30% chance of victory today and a 28% chance of achieving a draw, however statistics can't tell us everything. A brief look at our away form shows it tobe patchy currently.

In our last 20 away games we have won 45% of them and drawn 20% of them, during which time we have scored 33 goals and let in 28. If we narrow that down to teams in the top 7 we have won 35% and drawn 15%. Against teams below us in the table we have won 60% and drawn 20% away from home.

Our last 6 away games have resulted in a 3-0 win against WBA, 3-2 loss to Liverpool, 2-1 win against QPR, 3-0 loss to Manchester United, 0-0 draw with Burnley and a 3-1 win in the last away game against Newcastle United.

The trouble we face today is that players like Christian Eriksen look as if they are running on empty, as if the season has caught up with them. Chadli is a shadow of the player we saw at the start of the season when his goals were about all we had going for us.

The saving grace is that we are going to Southampton where surely, despite what is said in the media, Pochettino will have the side fired up. It is a massive game with a home tie against Manchester City coming up next week. We'll find out in half an hour. COYS

Tottenham XI: Lloris (c), Dier, Fazio, Vertonghen, Davies, Bentaleb, Mason, Chadli, Eriksen, Lamela, Kane

Subs: Vorm, Chiriches, Yedlin, Dembele, Stambouli, Townsend, Soldado