SWANS v SPURS
Today we could pull 6 points clear of Liverpool and if Manchester City win, remain 5 points clear of them.
It doesn't make a great deal of difference to the gap between ourselves and Chelsea whether Manchester City win or draw. The only difference it really make is goal difference, all assuming we win of course.
A Man City win would then leave us 4 points behind Chelsea which would mean they would have to lose a game and draw a game if we won all of our remaining fixtures.
If Man City draw then we are 5 points behind Chelsea and they would need to lose and draw for us to catch them and the title be decided on goal difference.
It is a big ask for us to win all our remaining games but even a Man City draw isn't a bad result for us. First off, we have to beat Swansea City tonight on their patch.
Their last three games have seen a 0-0 draw with Middlesbrough, a 2-0 defeat to Bournemouth and a 2-1 defeat to Hull City.
|Last 4 at home||Last 4 away|
|(in the league, most recent first)|
|SWANSEA - Middlesbrough||0-0||0-2||Burnley - SPURS|
|SWANSEA - Burnley||3-2||2-0||Liverpool - SPURS|
|SWANSEA - Leicester City||2-0||0-0||Sunderland - SPURS|
|SWANSEA - Southampton||2-1||2-2||Manchester City - SPURS|
At home they gain an average of 1.2 points per game while we average 1.5 points away from home. They have won 33% of their games we have won 35% of ours, they have drawn 20%, we have drawn 43%, they have lost 47%, we have lost 21%.
On home form Swansea sit 16th with 18 points from 15 games and away from home we sit 6th with 21 points from 14 games. They have scored 21 goals and conceded 30 while we have scored 22 goals and conceded 13 on our travels.
Their home games have seen two or more goals 87% of the time, while our travels have seen two or more goals in 79% of the games.
For those of you looking for a half-time angle, a draw, particularly 0-0 is a popular score. Swansea have been drawing 7 out of 15, we have been drawing 7 out of 14. The odds are 2.3 at the moment.
|3 / 15||5 / 30||Leading at halftime||12 / 29||3 / 14|
|5 / 15||11 / 30||Losing at halftime||6 / 29||4 / 14|
|20%||17%||Leading at halftime (%)||41%||21%|
|33%||37%||Losing at halftime (%)||21%||29%|
Both teams score in 53% of their home game and 57% of our away games. They keep 27% of clean sheets, we keep 29%. They fail to score in 33% and we in 29%. They score in both halves 20% of the time and we 21% of the time, while they concede at home 47% of the time in both halves, while we only concede 7% of the time in both halves away from home.
|5 / 15||9 / 30||Team scores first||17 / 29||5 / 14|
|8 / 15||19 / 30||Opponent scores first||10 / 29||7 / 14|
|33%||30%||Team scores first (%)||59%||36%|
|53%||63%||Opponent scores first (%)||34%||50%|
|Home||Away||HOME / AWAY ADVANTAGE||Home||Away|
|58%||42%||% Goals scored||61%||39%|
|48%||52%||% Goals conceded||38%||62%|
We have won 9, drawn 2 and lost none of our last 9 encounters with Swansea home and away going back to 2011.
A look at the attack and defence tables show we have a real chance of gaining another three points with Swansea City having the worst defence in the Premier League, having conceded three times the number of goals we have.
|West Ham United||30||41|
|West Ham United||30||54|
Opportunity awaits. COYS
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